Folgore vs AC Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.7%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
LIB
2 - 1
FOL
24%
27%
49%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
FOL
0 - 1
FIO
30%
25%
45%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
PEN
2 - 0
FOL
31%
26%
43%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
FOL
0 - 0
LIB
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
VIR
1 - 2
FOL
12%
23%
65%
|
67 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
JUV
0 - 2
VIR
54%
22%
24%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
VIR
2 - 2
FAE
27%
24%
48%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
DOM
0 - 0
VIR
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CAI
1 - 4
VIR
65%
20%
16%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +3 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
VIR
1 - 2
FOL
12%
23%
65%
|
42 | 67 | 25 | 0 |