Folgore vs AC Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
20.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
FOL
1 - 1
CAI
63%
22%
15%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
FIO
0 - 0
FOL
79%
15%
6%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
FOL
2 - 1
FAE
39%
26%
36%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
FOL
0 - 1
COS
33%
25%
42%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 0
MUR
20%
24%
56%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
VIR
0 - 0
SGI
26%
24%
50%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
TPE
5 - 1
VIR
71%
17%
12%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
JUV
2 - 2
VIR
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 4
COS
29%
26%
45%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
FIO
4 - 0
VIR
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |