Folgore vs AC Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
52.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
CAI
1 - 3
FOL
38%
25%
37%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
LIB
3 - 0
FOL
65%
21%
14%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
VIR
3 - 0
FOL
67%
20%
14%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
SGI
2 - 0
FOL
33%
25%
43%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
FOL
3 - 3
TFI
15%
23%
62%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
VIR
0 - 0
LIB
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
VIR
1 - 1
DOM
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
VIR
3 - 0
FOL
67%
20%
14%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
MUR
2 - 3
VIR
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
LIB
1 - 1
VIR
32%
26%
42%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |