Folgore vs AC Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
32.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2002 |
SGI
2 - 2
FOL
26%
24%
50%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
FOL
2 - 1
FIO
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
FOL
0 - 0
CAI
49%
24%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
DOM
3 - 2
FOL
46%
24%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
FOL
1 - 3
FAE
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2002 |
VIR
3 - 1
FIO
85%
11%
4%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
CAI
0 - 0
VIR
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
VIR
2 - 1
JUV
85%
11%
4%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
FAE
1 - 1
VIR
37%
26%
37%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
VIR
3 - 0
DOM
48%
23%
29%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |