Folgore vs AC Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2000 |
SGI
1 - 0
FOL
22%
24%
54%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
FOL
3 - 2
MUR
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
FOL
0 - 0
PEN
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
JUV
0 - 2
FOL
37%
25%
37%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2000 |
BAS
7 - 0
FOL
72%
17%
12%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2000 |
VIR
2 - 2
TFI
56%
22%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
MUR
1 - 1
VIR
43%
24%
33%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
VIR
3 - 1
JUV
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
SGI
0 - 1
VIR
21%
24%
55%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
COS
0 - 2
VIR
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |