Folgore vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
12.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2002 |
COS
2 - 0
FOL
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
FOL
1 - 1
TPE
67%
19%
14%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
FIO
2 - 2
FOL
20%
22%
58%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
FOL
2 - 1
LIB
47%
23%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
FOL
0 - 2
PEN
53%
23%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2002 |
FAE
1 - 0
TFI
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
DOM
1 - 0
TFI
67%
19%
14%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
TFI
0 - 2
CAI
34%
25%
41%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
TFI
3 - 1
JUV
68%
18%
13%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
TFI
0 - 0
VIR
28%
24%
48%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |