Folgore vs San Giovanni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
TPE
0 - 1
FOL
52%
26%
23%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
FOL
3 - 1
PEN
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
LIB
1 - 4
FOL
51%
26%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
DOM
1 - 3
FOL
25%
26%
49%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
CAI
0 - 3
FOL
32%
26%
42%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
San Giovanni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
SGI
1 - 3
PEN
46%
24%
30%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
LIB
4 - 2
SGI
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
SGI
1 - 4
FIO
20%
22%
58%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
FIO
2 - 1
SGI
49%
22%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
SGI
2 - 3
MUR
56%
21%
23%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |