Folgore vs San Giovanni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
TFI
1 - 0
FOL
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
FOL
1 - 0
COS
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
TPE
1 - 2
FOL
69%
20%
12%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
FIO
1 - 1
FOL
64%
20%
16%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
FOL
0 - 3
TFI
30%
28%
43%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
San Giovanni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
TPE
2 - 0
SGI
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
FIO
4 - 0
SGI
49%
23%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
SGI
1 - 1
PEN
66%
20%
15%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
DOM
2 - 1
SGI
25%
25%
50%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
FOL
0 - 0
SGI
34%
24%
42%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |