Folgore vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
9.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
FIO
1 - 2
FOL
34%
24%
42%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
FOL
0 - 2
TPE
10%
20%
70%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
TFI
0 - 0
FOL
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
JUV
0 - 1
FOL
35%
24%
41%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
FOL
0 - 2
VIR
13%
23%
64%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 3
SGI
33%
24%
43%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
FAE
2 - 0
PEN
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 5
COS
13%
20%
67%
|
40 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CAI
0 - 0
PEN
56%
22%
22%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 3
FIO
8%
20%
72%
|
40 | 68 | 28 | 0 |