Folgore vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FOL
0 - 0
COS
20%
26%
54%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CAI
0 - 2
FOL
17%
22%
61%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
FOL
1 - 1
VIR
21%
26%
53%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
VIR
1 - 1
FOL
64%
22%
14%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FOL
1 - 0
FIO
55%
24%
22%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
VIR
1 - 0
PEN
75%
18%
8%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 1
FIO
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 3
VIR
22%
25%
53%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
TPE
2 - 0
PEN
80%
14%
6%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 7
LIB
31%
26%
43%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |