Folgore vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
46.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
FOL
1 - 1
FIO
32%
24%
43%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
FOL
1 - 0
FAE
36%
23%
41%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
FOL
4 - 1
FAE
28%
25%
47%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2009 |
FOL
2 - 3
CAI
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
FIO
0 - 2
FOL
27%
25%
48%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
FAE
2 - 2
PEN
33%
25%
43%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
PEN
1 - 1
JUV
50%
24%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
DOM
1 - 2
PEN
36%
25%
39%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
PEN
2 - 0
VIR
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
PEN
2 - 0
JUV
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |