Folgore vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
24%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
MUR
0 - 1
FOL
37%
24%
38%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
VIR
4 - 0
FOL
50%
23%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
FOL
1 - 2
SGI
76%
16%
9%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
FIO
1 - 4
FOL
17%
22%
62%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
CAI
3 - 1
FOL
41%
25%
34%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
PEN
2 - 1
FAE
55%
23%
23%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
PEN
2 - 2
TPE
59%
21%
20%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
LIB
0 - 2
PEN
52%
23%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2001 |
FIO
4 - 5
PEN
31%
25%
44%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
PEN
3 - 2
TFI
63%
20%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |