Folgore vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
17.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
JUV
0 - 2
FOL
37%
25%
37%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2000 |
BAS
7 - 0
FOL
72%
17%
12%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -2 |
| 10 Aug. 2000 |
FOL
1 - 5
BAS
38%
25%
37%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2000 |
FOL
3 - 1
DOM
57%
22%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
FIO
2 - 3
FOL
26%
25%
49%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
PEN
5 - 0
TFI
37%
25%
37%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
JUV
1 - 1
PEN
37%
25%
39%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2000 |
TPE
4 - 3
PEN
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2000 |
PEN
1 - 2
CAI
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
PEN
2 - 1
FOL
37%
26%
38%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |