Folgore vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
52%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FOL
2 - 1
SGI
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 3
FOL
14%
20%
66%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
FOL
1 - 2
TFI
20%
26%
54%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
FOL
0 - 0
FIO
16%
24%
59%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FIO
1 - 0
FOL
68%
20%
12%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
MUR
3 - 3
DOM
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
COS
0 - 1
MUR
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MUR
3 - 0
PEN
77%
16%
7%
|
62 | 37 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
MUR
2 - 3
TPE
26%
24%
51%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MUR
0 - 1
FIO
30%
27%
44%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |