Folgore vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
FOL
1 - 1
PEN
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
FOL
4 - 1
FIO
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
FOL
3 - 5
VIR
43%
25%
32%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2002 |
SGI
2 - 2
FOL
26%
24%
50%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
FOL
2 - 1
FIO
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
MUR
3 - 3
CAI
55%
23%
22%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
MUR
1 - 4
PEN
43%
25%
32%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
FIO
1 - 1
MUR
23%
24%
53%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2002 |
MUR
2 - 4
COS
45%
26%
30%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
MUR
4 - 1
TFI
73%
17%
11%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |