Folgore vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
38.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
6º
11º
7º
47
5º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
FIO
1 - 1
FOL
30%
25%
45%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
FOL
0 - 4
COS
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
TPE
1 - 2
FOL
65%
21%
15%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2022 |
FOL
3 - 2
MUR
63%
22%
16%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
FOL
1 - 1
VIR
39%
27%
35%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
LIB
1 - 0
SGI
70%
19%
11%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MUR
2 - 3
LIB
21%
25%
54%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
LIB
3 - 3
PEN
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2022 |
FIO
0 - 1
LIB
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
LIB
2 - 1
JUV
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |