Folgore vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
61.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
FIO
2 - 1
FOL
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
FOL
1 - 3
TPE
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
FOL
2 - 3
CAI
27%
25%
48%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
PEN
2 - 2
FOL
77%
15%
8%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2004 |
FOL
0 - 3
TFI
28%
25%
47%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2005 |
TPE
2 - 1
LIB
31%
25%
44%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2005 |
LIB
1 - 0
CAI
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2004 |
COS
0 - 6
LIB
18%
22%
60%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
TFI
1 - 2
LIB
37%
25%
38%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2004 |
LIB
1 - 0
MUR
43%
26%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |