Folgore vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
29.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
FOL
0 - 2
PEN
53%
23%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
MUR
0 - 1
FOL
37%
24%
38%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
VIR
4 - 0
FOL
50%
23%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
FOL
1 - 2
SGI
76%
16%
9%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
FIO
1 - 4
FOL
17%
22%
62%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
LIB
3 - 0
CAI
47%
24%
29%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
FIO
1 - 2
LIB
16%
21%
63%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
LIB
2 - 0
VIR
40%
24%
36%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
COS
0 - 0
LIB
45%
24%
31%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
LIB
0 - 2
PEN
52%
23%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |