Folgore vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
59.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FIO
1 - 0
FOL
68%
20%
12%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
FOL
2 - 0
FIO
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FOL
1 - 1
SMA
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 4
FOL
14%
21%
66%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
FOL
2 - 2
FIO
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FIO
1 - 0
FOL
68%
20%
12%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CAI
0 - 2
FIO
6%
18%
76%
|
70 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FIO
2 - 0
DOM
73%
18%
9%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FIO
3 - 2
TPE
42%
26%
33%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
TPE
1 - 3
FIO
48%
23%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |