Folgore vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
45.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
FIO
3 - 2
FOL
36%
25%
38%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
FOL
2 - 0
PEN
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
FOL
0 - 0
SGI
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
TPE
0 - 1
FOL
52%
26%
23%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
FOL
3 - 1
PEN
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
FIO
0 - 2
PEN
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
FIO
4 - 0
LIB
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
LIB
1 - 0
FIO
32%
26%
42%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
DOM
0 - 1
FIO
14%
20%
66%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
FIO
1 - 2
FIO
76%
16%
8%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |