Folgore vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
47%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2009 |
FOL
2 - 3
CAI
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
FIO
0 - 2
FOL
27%
25%
48%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2009 |
COS
3 - 2
FOL
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2009 |
FOL
1 - 2
MUR
24%
26%
50%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
SGI
2 - 2
FOL
23%
25%
52%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2009 |
FIO
3 - 4
FAE
19%
22%
59%
|
61 | 34 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
FAE
1 - 1
CAI
64%
21%
14%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
TFI
0 - 0
FAE
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
FAE
2 - 1
SGI
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 31 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
MUR
1 - 1
FAE
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |