Folgore vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
21.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
JUV
1 - 2
FOL
12%
19%
69%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2002 |
FOL
2 - 1
TFI
69%
18%
13%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2002 |
COS
2 - 0
FOL
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
FOL
1 - 1
TPE
67%
19%
14%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
FIO
2 - 2
FOL
20%
22%
58%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
FAE
0 - 0
CAI
42%
26%
33%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
FAE
0 - 1
MUR
42%
25%
33%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2002 |
FAE
1 - 0
TFI
62%
21%
17%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
LIB
1 - 3
FAE
59%
22%
20%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
FAE
1 - 0
TPE
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |