Folgore vs Domagnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
51.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2004 |
FOL
0 - 1
JUV
32%
26%
43%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2004 |
JUV
4 - 2
FOL
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
FOL
0 - 4
LIB
22%
24%
53%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
FOL
1 - 1
TPE
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2004 |
FOL
0 - 4
FIO
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Domagnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2004 |
DOM
2 - 4
LIB
47%
25%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2004 |
DOM
2 - 2
PEN
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2004 |
DOM
2 - 1
TFI
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2004 |
COS
0 - 3
DOM
33%
26%
41%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
FAE
1 - 2
DOM
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |