Folgore vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
FAE
0 - 2
FOL
18%
25%
57%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
FOL
0 - 1
FIO
54%
23%
23%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
FOL
3 - 1
FIO
74%
17%
8%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
JUV
0 - 0
FOL
22%
23%
55%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
MUR
0 - 2
FOL
19%
24%
57%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
COS
1 - 1
FIO
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
TPE
4 - 1
COS
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
COS
4 - 1
PEN
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
COS
3 - 0
FIO
22%
23%
56%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
COS
0 - 0
PEN
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |