Folgore vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2014 |
JUV
0 - 1
FOL
49%
24%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
MUR
1 - 1
FOL
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
FOL
2 - 0
VIR
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
TFI
2 - 4
FOL
49%
26%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
FOL
2 - 2
FIO
29%
26%
45%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
COS
0 - 1
FIO
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2014 |
LIB
0 - 0
COS
45%
25%
30%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
TPE
1 - 0
COS
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
COS
1 - 1
DOM
62%
22%
17%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
COS
1 - 1
SGI
61%
22%
18%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |