Folgore vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
35.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
FOL
3 - 1
CAI
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
SGI
0 - 5
FOL
45%
24%
31%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
FOL
1 - 1
JUV
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
FOL
1 - 2
DOM
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
COS
0 - 1
FOL
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
PEN
4 - 0
COS
32%
26%
42%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
COS
1 - 3
FIO
33%
26%
42%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
CAI
0 - 5
COS
19%
24%
57%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
COS
2 - 1
SGI
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
COS
0 - 1
FOL
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |