Folgore vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
41.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
FIO
2 - 0
FOL
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
FOL
1 - 2
PEN
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
DOM
2 - 2
FOL
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
COS
4 - 1
FOL
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
FOL
2 - 0
SGI
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
COS
2 - 1
JUV
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
COS
0 - 4
SGI
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
MUR
2 - 3
COS
55%
23%
23%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
FIO
1 - 2
COS
48%
24%
28%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
COS
4 - 1
FOL
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |