Folgore vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
39.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
TPE
1 - 2
FOL
69%
20%
12%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
FIO
1 - 1
FOL
64%
20%
16%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
FOL
0 - 3
TFI
30%
28%
43%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
FOL
0 - 0
SGI
34%
24%
42%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
FOL
1 - 0
PEN
43%
27%
30%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
COS
1 - 0
DOM
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
COS
1 - 0
TFI
37%
28%
36%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
TPE
2 - 0
COS
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
TFI
3 - 2
COS
49%
24%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
COS
1 - 1
SGI
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |