Folgore vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
45.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
VIR
2 - 0
FOL
60%
23%
18%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SGI
2 - 3
FOL
59%
21%
20%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
CAI
1 - 2
FOL
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
FAE
0 - 2
FOL
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
CAI
3 - 2
FOL
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
COS
1 - 0
CAI
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
COS
2 - 4
JUV
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
COS
0 - 0
FAE
52%
23%
25%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
COS
1 - 2
FIO
27%
25%
49%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
COS
1 - 1
TFI
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |