Folgore vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
47.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
MUR
2 - 0
FOL
77%
16%
7%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
FOL
1 - 2
VIR
25%
23%
52%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
FOL
1 - 2
TPE
16%
22%
62%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
FOL
2 - 0
DOM
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2010 |
VIR
1 - 0
FOL
66%
21%
13%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
COS
1 - 0
LIB
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
FAE
1 - 3
COS
44%
27%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
TFI
1 - 1
COS
60%
21%
18%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
COS
0 - 0
PEN
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
COS
1 - 0
JUV
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |