Folgore vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
36.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
FIO
1 - 2
FOL
69%
18%
13%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
FAE
2 - 1
FOL
57%
22%
21%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
FOL
1 - 1
SGI
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
VIR
3 - 2
FOL
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
FOL
2 - 4
FIO
29%
26%
46%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
COS
1 - 3
TFI
31%
24%
45%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
FIO
0 - 2
COS
26%
24%
50%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
COS
2 - 1
LIB
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
COS
2 - 2
FAE
44%
25%
32%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
PEN
3 - 2
COS
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |