Folgore vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2008 |
MUR
1 - 2
FOL
74%
17%
10%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
FOL
5 - 1
SGI
77%
15%
8%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
TFI
1 - 1
FOL
73%
17%
10%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
TPE
2 - 0
FOL
71%
18%
11%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
CAI
2 - 0
FOL
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2008 |
COS
2 - 1
CAI
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
FIO
1 - 2
COS
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
COS
0 - 2
FAE
31%
25%
44%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2008 |
MUR
3 - 0
COS
76%
15%
9%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
LIB
0 - 3
COS
76%
16%
8%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +2 |