Folgore vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
FIO
2 - 0
FOL
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
LIB
4 - 1
FOL
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2007 |
FOL
1 - 0
SGI
77%
15%
8%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
FOL
1 - 2
TPE
28%
26%
46%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
FOL
0 - 4
CAI
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
COS
1 - 1
JUV
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
TPE
2 - 0
COS
76%
16%
8%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
PEN
3 - 0
COS
75%
17%
8%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
TFI
0 - 3
COS
77%
16%
7%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
COS
1 - 0
LIB
16%
21%
63%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | +1 |