Folgore vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
29.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
FOL
2 - 1
MUR
19%
24%
57%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
SGI
1 - 2
FOL
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2004 |
FIO
1 - 1
FOL
50%
23%
26%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
VIR
2 - 1
FOL
78%
14%
7%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2004 |
LIB
1 - 0
FOL
72%
18%
10%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2004 |
DOM
5 - 3
COS
70%
18%
11%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
COS
0 - 2
FIO
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
COS
1 - 2
MUR
26%
25%
49%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
PEN
7 - 0
COS
72%
18%
11%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2004 |
TPE
5 - 1
COS
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |