Folgore vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
27%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2002 |
FIO
0 - 2
FOL
12%
20%
68%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
FOL
1 - 0
MUR
50%
23%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
FOL
1 - 1
PEN
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
FOL
4 - 1
FIO
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
FOL
3 - 5
VIR
43%
25%
32%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2002 |
VIR
1 - 1
COS
59%
22%
18%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
COS
1 - 1
TPE
74%
16%
10%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
COS
2 - 2
TFI
71%
17%
11%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
COS
1 - 3
SGI
74%
16%
10%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
COS
0 - 6
LIB
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |