Folgore vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2000 |
FOL
1 - 0
VIR
57%
22%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
PEN
2 - 1
FOL
37%
26%
38%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
FOL
7 - 1
TPE
67%
20%
14%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2000 |
JUV
1 - 3
FOL
28%
25%
47%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
FOL
0 - 1
CAI
65%
20%
15%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2000 |
TPE
3 - 5
COS
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
FIO
1 - 6
COS
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
COS
0 - 0
PEN
58%
22%
19%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2000 |
CAI
1 - 0
COS
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
COS
4 - 0
JUV
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |