Folgore vs Cailungo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
21.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
DOM
4 - 1
FOL
70%
19%
12%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2007 |
TFI
2 - 1
FOL
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
FOL
0 - 0
PEN
30%
25%
45%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
JUV
0 - 0
FOL
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
FOL
2 - 0
FIO
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2007 |
CAI
1 - 1
JUV
38%
26%
37%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2007 |
CAI
3 - 0
FIO
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
TPE
1 - 1
CAI
72%
19%
10%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
DOM
1 - 1
CAI
77%
15%
7%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
CAI
2 - 1
TFI
21%
25%
54%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | +1 |