Q. Europa League Preliminary round Final
Global 1-12
Folgore vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
36.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2000 |
FOL
3 - 1
DOM
57%
22%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
FIO
2 - 3
FOL
26%
25%
49%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2000 |
FOL
0 - 0
COS
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2000 |
FOL
1 - 0
VIR
57%
22%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
PEN
2 - 1
FOL
37%
26%
38%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2000 |
YVE
1 - 0
BAS
31%
27%
42%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2000 |
BAS
1 - 0
GCZ
38%
25%
38%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2000 |
BAS
7 - 4
FCL
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2000 |
NEX
2 - 0
BAS
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2000 |
BAS
4 - 1
SIO
51%
24%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |