Folgore Caratese vs Voghera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
FOL
2 - 1
ASS
39%
27%
34%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
FOL
2 - 2
GRU
39%
24%
38%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CIS
1 - 3
FOL
49%
24%
28%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
INV
1 - 3
FOL
61%
22%
17%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
FOL
0 - 0
LEC
17%
22%
61%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Voghera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
SES
0 - 0
VOG
49%
27%
24%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
VOG
0 - 0
VFC
61%
20%
19%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SET
3 - 1
VOG
30%
26%
44%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
VOG
1 - 1
GOZ
44%
26%
30%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ACQ
0 - 0
VOG
19%
24%
57%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |