Folgore Caratese vs Real Calepina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 3
FOL
26%
25%
50%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
FOL
1 - 0
LEO
81%
13%
7%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
VCB
0 - 1
FOL
56%
21%
23%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
FOL
4 - 1
SON
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
FOL
2 - 1
USB
36%
24%
40%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Real Calepina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 0
ARC
30%
24%
46%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 1
CAL
52%
22%
26%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
ADR
3 - 1
CAL
58%
21%
22%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 0
VIL
55%
23%
22%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 2
DES
23%
22%
55%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |