Folgore Caratese vs Pontisola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
41.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
FIO
1 - 3
FOL
54%
25%
21%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
FOL
3 - 3
SON
66%
19%
15%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
BUS
1 - 1
FOL
54%
23%
23%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
FOL
0 - 0
VAR
30%
23%
47%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
OLG
0 - 1
FOL
63%
23%
15%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Pontisola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
PON
2 - 1
CIS
57%
21%
23%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
VBE
0 - 0
PON
29%
23%
48%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
PON
4 - 3
INV
55%
21%
24%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 2
PON
28%
26%
46%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
PON
1 - 3
LEC
35%
25%
41%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |