Folgore Caratese vs MapelloBonate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
35.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
PON
2 - 2
FOL
76%
16%
8%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
FOL
1 - 0
FIO
42%
26%
32%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
SON
0 - 1
FOL
50%
24%
26%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
FOL
1 - 1
BUS
54%
22%
24%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
VAR
1 - 1
FOL
78%
14%
8%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
MapelloBonate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
MAP
0 - 2
LEC
34%
25%
41%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
VBE
2 - 5
MAP
55%
22%
23%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +3 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
MAP
1 - 0
SER
37%
25%
38%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 2
MAP
41%
27%
33%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
PRO
2 - 1
MAP
55%
25%
21%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |