Folgore Caratese vs Gozzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
34.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
FOL
3 - 0
LAS
84%
12%
5%
|
33 | 9 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 3
FOL
54%
23%
22%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 1
NOV
46%
25%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 0
CAN
82%
12%
5%
|
31 | 13 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 2
FOL
70%
18%
12%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Gozzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
SER
1 - 0
GOZ
38%
25%
37%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
GOZ
2 - 2
OLG
40%
25%
34%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
RUD
1 - 1
GOZ
30%
25%
45%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
GOZ
2 - 0
ALZ
42%
26%
33%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
VOG
0 - 0
GOZ
37%
25%
38%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |