Folgore Caratese vs Ciserano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
35.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
PER
1 - 2
FOL
56%
25%
19%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
FOL
1 - 1
VIL
35%
26%
39%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
OLG
0 - 0
FOL
66%
22%
12%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
FOL
2 - 2
PSM
50%
23%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
PRO
2 - 1
FOL
57%
25%
18%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Ciserano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CIS
0 - 1
MAP
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
PER
1 - 2
CIS
44%
24%
32%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CIS
2 - 0
VIL
40%
24%
36%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
OLG
1 - 2
CIS
58%
22%
20%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CIS
2 - 0
PSM
50%
22%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |