Folgore Caratese vs Chiavari Caperana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
28.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
APD
2 - 2
FOL
18%
24%
58%
|
34 | 15 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
FOL
0 - 0
GER
20%
24%
56%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
FOL
2 - 0
ASD
28%
25%
48%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +4 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
VER
4 - 3
FOL
48%
25%
27%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
FOL
0 - 1
TOR
64%
21%
16%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Chiavari Caperana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 1
CAR
41%
24%
35%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 1
CHI
71%
17%
13%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
DER
0 - 1
CHI
47%
24%
29%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 1
AST
49%
23%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SES
2 - 1
CHI
45%
24%
31%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |