Folgore Caratese vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
60.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
VBE
2 - 0
FOL
43%
24%
32%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
FOL
2 - 1
SER
30%
26%
44%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 3
FOL
34%
29%
38%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
FOL
0 - 0
PRO
53%
24%
23%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
MAP
0 - 0
FOL
38%
27%
35%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
LEC
3 - 0
CIS
76%
14%
10%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
VBE
0 - 3
LEC
20%
20%
60%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
LEC
3 - 1
INV
63%
20%
17%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
LEC
1 - 0
CAR
82%
13%
5%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
GRU
1 - 1
LEC
35%
25%
40%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |