Fola Esch vs Union Titus Pétange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
4º
16º
13º
59
3º
14º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fola Esch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
FOL
2 - 1
EIN
86%
10%
4%
|
60 | 36 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
JEU
0 - 0
FOL
34%
22%
44%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
FOL
2 - 0
BER
67%
18%
15%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ULU
4 - 2
FOL
42%
25%
34%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
FOL
0 - 1
USH
69%
18%
13%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Union Titus Pétange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
MON
1 - 0
TPE
25%
22%
52%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
TPE
5 - 2
MON
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
TPE
0 - 1
UNA
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ULU
0 - 2
TPE
49%
26%
26%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
TPE
4 - 1
USH
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |