Fola Esch vs Swift Hesperange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fola Esch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
RUM
1 - 1
FOL
27%
25%
48%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 1
DIF
39%
26%
36%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
JEU
2 - 0
FOL
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
FOL
2 - 0
LXC
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
F91
1 - 0
FOL
73%
17%
11%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Swift Hesperange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
SWI
1 - 0
RAC
36%
25%
39%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
KAE
1 - 0
SWI
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SWI
3 - 1
CSP
41%
26%
34%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
UKT
2 - 0
SWI
55%
22%
24%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
RUM
3 - 3
SWI
39%
25%
36%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |