Fola Esch vs Swift Hesperange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
23.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fola Esch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
AVE
1 - 4
FOL
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
FOL
2 - 3
DIF
35%
25%
39%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
RAC
2 - 2
FOL
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
PRO
4 - 0
FOL
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
FOL
2 - 2
GRE
35%
25%
40%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Swift Hesperange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
SWI
2 - 0
KAE
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
F91
4 - 2
SWI
77%
15%
8%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
SWI
1 - 1
RUM
39%
25%
36%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
LXC
1 - 3
SWI
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
SWI
0 - 3
JEU
27%
25%
48%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |