Foios vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.9%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
28.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Foios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1999 |
SPO
1 - 1
FOY
36%
27%
38%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
FOY
3 - 2
TOR
54%
26%
21%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
ELD
3 - 1
FOY
66%
20%
14%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1999 |
FOY
0 - 1
OLI
58%
23%
19%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
BUR
1 - 3
FOY
61%
23%
17%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1999 |
PEG
1 - 2
NOV
36%
30%
34%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
ELC
3 - 0
PEG
52%
27%
21%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
PEG
0 - 2
GIM
55%
26%
19%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1999 |
SAN
0 - 0
PEG
25%
31%
44%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
PEG
0 - 0
BUR
47%
28%
24%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |